| Decarbonization
of Coal
If
the problem is Carbon Dioxide, wouldn't it make more sense
to simply NOT Oxidize the Carbon in the first place?
We can
reduce emissions from coal by 80% by using less than twice as much
coal and take CO2 emissions from coal to ZERO by using maybe two or
three times as much coal, all with existing technology.
The actual
path to zero will involve rapidly increasing efficiency and renewables
in response to higher energy prices such that overall coal use actually
remains flat while efficiency makes up the difference.
The recognition
of the possibility of doing this is based on two key insights:
1. Carbon
emissions from coal can be reduced by almost 80% by simply repurposing
and adapting an existing 150 year old technology, namely the coke oven
still used to derive coke from coal for use in smelting iron into steel.
An updated thermal volatile extraction (TVE)
process can now instead be used for the thermolysis of coal
whereby the volatile gases and liquids are separated from
coal for energy, leaving the carbon as a solid in the form of coke.
The resulting solid carbon can be used as a building material, industrial
feedstock, or simply buried.
The remaining
carbon emissions from coal can be completely eliminated using another
existing technology, thermal decomposition of methane
(TDM), to separate off the hydrogen from methane and other hydrocarbons,
leaving solid carbon by deposition.
2. The
value of CO2 necessary to make it cheaper to use this method to totally
eliminate carbon emissions from coal is roughly equal to or less than
the price of the coal. Therefore, at CO2 prices of less than $9 to $50
per ton we can completely eliminate CO2 emissions from coal.
The possibility
of doing this has not been previously recognized for a number of reasons:
- Everyone
has erroneously assumed that the penalty for not burning the carbon
from coal for energy is so high that it cannot even be considered.
- Therefore
most people thinking about the atmospheric carbon problem have never
even considered the possibility of decarbonization by thermolysis.
- Carbon
emissions have been priced by their weight in CO2 rather than carbon,
which has masked the actual relationship between the price of CO2,
the price of carbon and the price of coal in most people’s minds.
- The
magnitude of the threat of catastrophic climate change, and therefore
value of not emitting CO2 in the first place, had not reached its
current level.
The two
core insights above lead to a third key recognition:
3. If it
did take almost four times as much coal to make carbon-neutral electricity
from coal, then the actual cost of carbon-neutral electricity from coal
would be on the order of four times the current cost. However, by making
use of existing combined cycle combustion technology, burning the gases
may be as much as twice as efficient as burning the coal, meaning only
half again the cost to get to an almost 80% reduction, and perhaps only
double the cost in coal to go to a 100% elimination of CO2 from coal.
Coal
is a hydrogen-rich ore.
The
Basic Numbers
These are still theoretical numbers based on well understood chemistry
and thermodynamics from the coke oven gas process, however, they do
not yet include the capital cost that will need to be amortized over
the life of the investment to do this. Never-the-less, this suggests
the only plausible path to actually eliminate our emissions from coal
in the time required.
Coal currently
sells for $9 to $45 per ton in the U.S. (the range has been as low as
$6 and as high as $66 in the last two years). Anywhere from 50% to 92%
of the total weight of coal is carbon, and the example coke oven gas
was derived from relatively high carbon coal. Each CO2 molecule actually
weighs 3.66 times more than one carbon atom, so for each ton of coal
there are anywhere from 3.66 x .5 = 1.8 tons, to 3.66 x .92 = 3.36 tons,
or an average of around 2.75 tons of CO2 produced from the carbon in
coal when it is burned. To pay for the energy value of the carbon not
emitted would require about an extra three tons of coal to be used for
each ton currently burned.
If there
were an average 3 tons of CO2 per ton of coal burned, and about 1/4
of the energy if not burned, then not burning the coal would require
a total of 4 tons of coal, or an extra 3 tons of coal.
To achieve
zero CO2 emissions using these very rough numbers:
At $9/ton coal it would be 3x $9 /3 => $9 per ton of CO2.
At $30/ton coal it would be 3x $30 /3 => $30 per ton of CO2.
At $50/ton coal it would be 3x $50 /3 => $50 per ton of CO2.
Thus, at
a price per ton for CO2 roughly equal to the price per ton of coal,
CO2 emissions from coal can be completely eliminated. However, with
the efficiency gain of combined cycle this might even be cut in half.
A
Huge Reduction First
A reduction of about 78% in CO2 emissions can be achieved by means of
the first stage (TVE) thermal volatile extraction alone using basic
coke oven type technology that yields a mixture of hydrogen, methane,
carbon monoxide, BTX liquids and coal tar, along with solid coke. Simply
burning the resulting gas mixture in a boiler to produce electricity
would yield approximately 31% of the high heating value that would have
been produced by burning the coal, while emitting only 7% of the CO2.
Doing so would require about 320% of the coal burned to produce the
same electricity, but emit only 22% of the CO2 as burning one ton of
coal. However, if the gas is instead used in a combined cycle power
plant the efficiency could double, meaning that it will only require
on the order of 150% as much coal to reduce emissions by almost 80%.
The (TVE) process is energy neutral at 800 to 1000 degrees C, i.e. the
reaction itself does not consume any energy beyond the sensible heat
required to maintain the reaction vessle at temperature.
Zero
Carbon Coal
The overall process may be made fully carbon-neutral, thereby emitting
zero CO2 from coal, by adding a second stage, whereby the methane, and/or
small amounts of other hydrocarbon liquids, are converted into pure
hydrogen and carbon using thermal decomposition of methane (TDM). The
solid carbon derived from this vapor deposition process is the high
value feedstock necessary for the manufacture of carbon fiber materials.
At the completion of the full decarbonization process virtually 100%
elimination of CO2 emissions from coal can be achieved while delivering
approximately 26% of the total energy that would have been derived from
burning the coal. This would theoretically require about 380% of the
coal that would have been burned to produce the same energy, but again
with combined cycle technology could mean perhaps double the coal to
take CO2 emmissions to zero. The net energy yield for the TDM stage
is 55%.
A
New Carbon Market
The value of the new carbon dioxide elimination trade credit will be
based on the current price of CO2 and carbon from the lowest cost coal
will actually be negated first. In practice this will mean installing
sufficient TVE thermolysis capacity on power plants burning the cheapest
coal first. TVE will remove almost 80% of the carbon, thereby avoiding
creation of almost 80% of the CO2, but would also only require roughly
an extra 2 parts of coal (instead of an extra 3 parts) to achieve that
75% to 80% CO2 reduction: (2 x coal price) / (total CO2 per ton x .8)
i.e. (3 x .8 = 2.4).
For $9
coal the minimum CO2 price would be roughly: 2 x $9 / 2.4 = $7.50/ton
For $30 coal the minimum CO2 price would be roughly: 2 x $30 / 2.4 =
$25/ton
For $50 coal the minimum CO2 price would be roughly: 2 x $50 / 2.4 =
$41.50/ton
Again,
with the efficiency gain of burning the gas in a combined cycle power
plant these prices might also be cut in half, so $9/ton coal might actually
require a CO2 price of only $7.50 / 2 = $3.25/ton, while $50/ton coal
might be 80% negated at CO2 prices of close to $20/ton. CO2 is already
trading at well above that price in Europe. Global CO2 elimination credits
will be fungible so, the first place to find the cheapest coal for the
most attractively priced carbon credits will most likely be Chinese
and Indian coal plants.
A
Unified Carbon vs. Electricity vs. Coal Market Model
Because the price of other existing CO2 credits has not been directly
linked to the price of fossil carbon energy, the actual corresponding
price of carbon-neutral electricity has not been directly connected
to the price of CO2. This system integrates these three variables into
one coherent model of the energy and carbon market.
Generalized
Credit for All Fossil Fuels
A similar decarbonization approach may be applied to all fossil fuels,
and thus the same CO2 credit trading market can also be extended to
other fossil fuels by leveraging the decarbonization of oil and/or natural
gas using TDM thermal decomposition of methane and similar technologies.
Completely decarbonizing natural gas will effectively double the cost
of gas, while decarbonizing oil should fall somewhere between the cost
of coal and natural gas.
Audit
Verification
To assure that the resulting coke is actually used to achieve negation
and not used in metallurgy, cooking, heating or other combustion causing
CO2 emissions, the coke must be mixed with sand or dirt to render it
non-combustible. This process of mixing the coke with sand and/or burial
or use as a building material filler will require an audit verification
regime.
Value
Added Gases
Approximately 55% of coke oven gas is hydrogen, and 25% is methane.
The market value of the hydrogen and methane appear to be so much higher
than the value of the electricity currently made by burning coal, and
cheaper than the H2 currently made from natural gas, that initially
it should be economically attractive to install thermolysis to produce
the gases even before counting the value of CO2 elimination. However,
the supply of H2 should be expected to rapidly rise to the point where
the price falls and the value of CO2 negation will become the driving
force for installing additional thermolysis capacity on coal plants.
High
Sulfur Coal Solution
To make it even more attractive, the decarbonization process will also
remove both the sulfur and nitrogen, retaining them as separate products
along with the solid coke. Hence the process also solves local air pollution
issues, allowing otherwise unmarketable high-sulfur coal to be used.
This dirty coal may offer the lowest possible carbon negation price
until the new market pushes the price of them up. In addition, low grade
coal sometimes contains a higher percentage of volatiles representing
non-carbon energy and thus could yield more energy and less carbon per
ton of coal. This coal is often not suitable for making coke, but may
have a higher yield of H2 than the example numbers from coke oven gas
used here.
Comparison
with Coal Gasification
This can be compared with alternative proposals for so-called clean
coal, involving coal gasification, that would only reduce net CO2
emissions by 50%, require advanced technology, and depend upon the geologically
questionable and as yet unproven underground sequestration of gaseous
CO2 to even achieve that 50% reduction. Current estimates suggest that
without subsidies coal gasification would only start to become economically
feasible at $20-40/ton for CO2.
Internalizing
Externalities from Coal
In the language of sustainability this is a market mechanism for internalizing
many of the most serious externalities from coal, related to climate
change and local air pollution from emissions.
If the
bulk carbon were actually used to refill the hole where the coal was
mined it might even begin to also address some of the collateral costs
of that aspect of coal mining as well. If the externalities of the entire
coal life cycle could be fully captured in the cost of the energy derived
from it, coal might become a legitimate component of a truly sustainable
energy future.
Efficiency
Gains and Renewables
While at first glance the price increases implied might seem challenging,
consider how the market will react once a price trend has been projected
and discounted. Once it is universally known that electricity rates
will roughly double in five years, everyone will choose to finance,
purchase and install improved efficiency at every opportunity to make
a capital decision. The savings from massive efficiency gains and resulting
demand reductions driven by steady price increases will help compensate
to keep the net cost of actual electrical usage growing far more slowly.
Even if electricity prices doubled in five years, and then doubled again
in the next five years, at the end of ten years the system as a whole
would be far more efficient and resilient. The net positive effect on
the economy as a whole, and efficiency and renewables in particular,
would far outweigh the actual challenges of increased energy costs.
New
Carbon Materials
Solid carbon is stronger and lighter than many of the materials in current
use, such as concrete and steel, and together steel and concrete account
for over 10% of global CO2 emissions. Large quantities of high quality
carbon can be used as a construction material. In the short term, carbon
based masonry made from coal tar and coke can supplant bricks and concrete.
If this construction material sold for even half the price of concrete
it would pay for the reduced energy yield even without carbon credits.
In the long-term TDM carbon could be the feedstock for new carbon fiber
based materials technologies that promise to replace steel in products
from cars to buildings, and cars made of carbon fiber could be an order
of magnitude more fuel-efficient than steel cars.
Coal
is a carbon-rich ore
This
idea was developed by Jim Fournier and he has filed a business method
patent on it in the U.S. to form a venture backed company, Carbon Zero,
Inc. to develop and deploy a demonstration plant. These credits may
also be deployed first in other parts of the world where carbon is already
trading well above the price necessary to make it attractive to avoid
carbon dioxide emissions this way.
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